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When you play Baseball Manager (vets call it BBM) you join a fantasy baseball community that has a love for the game and a passion for playing the only fantasy baseball game that offers a 162 game season with lefty-righty matchups and realistic game results.
What are you waiting for? Join a league. See you on the field.
Obie says
In stark contrast with the AL East, the AL Central is the weakest division in the American League. Actually, it may be the weakest division in all of baseball. All but one team will end the 2012 season with a losing record. Detroit is the only team that will have a winning record against teams Read More
Humin'bird says
Everyone has their own specific needs when playing fantasy baseball. Beyond just the basic 5 x 5 roto game, some want a detail oriented highly statistically integrated game that uses all forms of hitting, along with some pitching stats beyond … Continue reading →
Obie says
Why not start our team projections with one of the toughest divisions in baseball – the AL East. Four teams in this division are projected to have winning records outside the division this year. The only problem is that they have to play a ton of games against each other. Looking at this division in Read More
Obie says
Now it’s time for the pitchers. The first iteration of MORPS 2012 for pitchers is ready. You will find projections for 375 pitchers listed. Every hurler that was projected to win a roster spot according to www.mlbdepthcharts.com as of January 30th has been listed. Several key free agents are also included. Projected pitching stats are Read More
Obie says
The time has finally come. The first iteration of MORPS 2012 for position players is ready. You will find projections for over 400 players. Every position player that was projected to win a roster spot according to www.mlbdepthcharts.com as of January 28th has been listed. Projected players stats are based upon sabermetric projection theory and Read More
A key has been added to the MORPS hitting and pitching projections. Thanks for letting me know this was a need.
Thank you for making all your hard work and talent available to the public. Do you have a key or glossary somewhere that explains what each category abbreviation means in your projections (for relatively inexperienced fantasy baseball players like me)?
Very interesting,some really great info and thinking. Thanks, Art
THANKS
Owl says
Are you as stoked for this year’s 1st base draft in the American League as I am? Wow, is this going to be good. It’s like you can’t go wrong. New players, proven stars, and a promising rookie or two…this draft has it all. First, there are two HUGE additions to the American League. Need Read More
Obie says
Every year you see tons of websites predicting which MLB teams have made the right moves to get their team to the playoffs. Some make their predictions based upon their inane baseball IQ. Others use a popularity approach, which teams are getting the most press or the teams that have landed the big name free Read More
bbmguide says
[object HTMLTextAreaElement] via Would You Rather Have: Sabathia or Lee? – CBSSports.com. CC or Lee? Who would you rather have? Both pitchers throw lots of innings which is always important in simulation games like Baseball Manager. Lee’s WHIP is a … Continue reading →
Owl says
There was a time when black men were not allowed in major league baseball. Shameful. I am glad that when I started following baseball in the 1960’s that was not the case. My Detroit Tiger heroes back then were Al Kaline and Willie Horton. What a one-two punch. Those guys had it all and when Read More
Obie says
First, let’s define our terms. OPS stands for on-base plus slugging. It is the combination of a player’s on-base percentage (OBP) and their slugging percentage (SLG). For many fantasy owners, it is the most convenient way measure players against each other since it values many the variables used in fantasy resolution formulas. wOBA stands for Read More
The original post has been updated. Tom Tango analyzed my data and noted that my original correlation comparisons had mixed rate stat and counting stat results. This problem has now been corrected. He also noted that the BBM offensive formula is actually the original Bill James Runs Created formula. This revelation will be covered in more detail within a future post.
Owl says
My fantasy sport leagues have all been played online. But before there was an Internet I’m sure some of you played in leagues made up of friends and relatives. That must have been fun getting together every so often with everyone and talking about how things are going. The draft sessions must have been a Read More
That is exactly why I like the Baseball Manager Progression leagues with Pinetar. Everyone fights to the end because they want to either get promoted or keep from being demoted. As you advance with promotion, you are also challenged with stiffer competition from managers that have proven themselves at lower tiers. If you really want to be the best, you have to beat the best. If you just want stiff competition every year, that is exactly what your going to get.
Obie says
I was just asked to briefly explain a couple of the projection systems I have mentioned in my recent posts. The best summary I have seen of current projections systems is on Fangraphs. Rather than trying to summarize them all on this blog, I will simply insert the link to this site so you can Read More
Obie says
I read some research late last year that altered the way that I drafted pitchers in 2011. Steamer Projections evaluated 2009 projection systems and determined that Marcel beat most other ERA projections by using Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) in lieu of standard ERA projections (see article). Since my formulas were originally based on the Marcel Read More
Yeah, it looks like FIPs has the advantage when there weren't enough innings pitched for the luck in ERA to even out. But once there are enough innings pitched, which happens much sooner for starters, then ERA is slightly better. And the greater the number of innings pitched, such as starters in MORPS, the greater the advantage of using ERA over FIPS.
Owl says
The New Year brings a fresh start, a new beginning, the feeling that this could be my year. The fact that everyone else feels the same doesn’t seem to dampen our spirit. A new year is also the time to reflect. The first time I heard about fantasy baseball or rotisserie baseball was in the Read More
Obie says
One of the key ways to improve any system is to evaluate it against other systems and actual results. I have listed below MORPS versus 2011 actuals, four year average (2010-2007) and four year weighted average (2010-2007). The weighted average is the last 4 years of data with 2010 weighted five times, 2009 four times, Read More
I have to think that ZiPS already uses some type of reliability calculation within their projections. That is how you typically regress to the mean for most projection systems. I've been working with historical data over the last several days to see if I could somehow "crack the formula" that ZiPS uses for their batters. I believe the fact that he models the data for each team and doesn't distinguish between Major League and Minor League ABs accounts for better projections on plate appearances. It doesn't really help fantasy owners because we only care about MLB ABs, but it does make it easier to project. The one that I don't get is the ZiPS accuracy on stats per plate appearance. MORPS beat ZiPS with pitchers. MORPS didn't really come close with batters. One thing I determined late yesterday was that breaking down the stats by first half and second half allows you to give more strength to second half stats going into the coming year. When I applied this to historical data, MORPS made up some significant ground on ZiPS. I believe that their are some correlations that I have not found yet that may make up the rest.
So perhaps using ZiPS with an adjustment for reliability would be a good way to go?
Read the January Newsletter from Commissioner Richard Pagliaro
Humin'bird at 6:17p Feb 04
I've received a lot more emails lately from potential new managers as well. Many of them wanting to know if Pinetar accepts newbies. I explain that BBM has an enrollment system for progression now and then steer them to the DC for help learning the game specifics. The managers on the DC are a wealth of information and experience.
TBo at 4:16p Feb 04
Most of the managers I know have been playing BBM for a decade or two. I'm excited because I've seen managers looking to come into BBM. We added a newbie last season to the Rounders.
Larry at 4:14p Feb 04
Must say, if your a diehard fantasy player and looking for the most realistic game out on the net---it's baseballmanager. Hand's down, it offers more real time like managing then any other game available to fantasy ballers. Check out baseballmanager.com, and see what ya'll think. So glad I found it.